Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.42
	2.67	3.24	2.5
	5.86	3.98	1.52	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.68	3.06	2.42
	2.66	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.18)	3.25 (3.25)	2.29 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
29.3%

Draw
29.2%

Lugo B
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Peña's form might have worsened.

Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugo B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Peña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugo B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gran Peña - Lugo B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lugo B (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugo B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Gran Peña is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gran Peña will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Gran Peña - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Silva SD - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWW
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Lugo B - Silva SD	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Céltiga - Lugo B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lugo B - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Boiro - Lugo B	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lugo B - Barco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWT

Gran Peña - Lugo B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide