Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Anadia

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.02	4
	1.88	3.17	4.07	Watch
	1.89	3.13	3.97
	1.9	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.6)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	3.99 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
47.9%

Draw
29.4%

Anadia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.

Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anadia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alpendorada - Anadia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Anadia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Anadia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alpendorada is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Alpendorada - Casa Pia	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Gouveia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vila Meã - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Alpendorada - Estrela da Amadora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWTW
- Anadia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Anadia - Cinfães	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Florgrade - Anadia	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Anadia - Leça	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Anadia - Marinhense	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.10.25	Vila Real - Anadia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLT

Upcoming Matches