Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada) 🌤️ ...


	Alpendorada		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	7.50	4.10	1.38
	7.25	4.10	1.38
	7.80	4.15	1.36
	8.51	4.09	1.34
	8.2	4.1	1.38
	8.40	4.00	1.32
	8.20	4.30	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↓ (9.85)	4.12 ↓ (5.02)	1.37 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
11.4%

Draw
22.1%

Casa Pia
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.3%

18.2%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casa Pia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alpendorada - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Silva C. (G) 77. Agbeko M. 28. Cruz B. 25. Danny 12. Fabio Rodrigo 21. Goudelis G. 17. Njoh S. 36. Parini D. 23. Pepe 29. Teixeira R. 14. Valente M.	1. Sequeira P. (G) 16. Clua S. 44. Felipe Silva 8. Gabi 18. Geraldes A. (C) 4. Goulart J. 20. Jatta A. 98. JP 77. Pauwels B. 75. Rosas P. 11. Salah M.
Substitutes
9. Fonseca H. 8. Freitas D. 13. Gramoso R. 45. Pauleta 10. Santos J. 2. Santos R. 1. Teopisto (G) 79. Vieira G. 3. Zuzarte G.	9. Araujo H. 90. Cassiano 59. Dafe A. 27. Kaique Rocha 3. Kaly 95. Mandic I. (G) 17. Maurin E. 24. Perez S. 19. Prieto K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟨,

Preview

Casa Pia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Casa Pia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Casa Pia holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Alpendorada has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Alpendorada against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.10.26	Cinfães - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Alpendorada - Machico	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sanjoanense - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:3 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.08.26	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLLWW
- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
10.10.26	Casa Pia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Casa Pia - Porto	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Casa Pia - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Alpendorada - Casa Pia	0:3

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