Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Altamura		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.15
	1.71	3.47	4.14
	1.92	3	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.53)	3.29 ↓ (3.7)	4.18 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altamura
50.9%

Draw
27.5%

Nocerina
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

15.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altamura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Altamura - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

Recent matches Altamura is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nocerina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Altamura is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altamura won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Altamura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Altamura
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.02.23	Città di Brindisi - Altamura	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Altamura - Martina Calcio	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Casarano - Altamura	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Altamura - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Gravina - Altamura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.02.23	Nocerina - Barletta	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Città di Brindisi - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Nocerina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Nocerina - Casarano	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Lavello - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
30.10.22	Nocerina - Altamura	2:3
30.04.22	Nocerina - Altamura	1:2
12.12.21	Altamura - Nocerina	2:0
23.02.20	Nocerina - Altamura	1:0
20.10.19	Altamura - Nocerina	2:1

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