Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Gravina		Altamura

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.55	3.13	1.98
	3.75	3.5	1.8
	3.71	3.56	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.47)	3.36 ↓ (3.76)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
25.4%

Draw
27.2%

Altamura
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.4%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gravina won 2.

Gravina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altamura is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gravina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Altamura is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gravina won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gravina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.01.24	Gravina - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Nardo - Gravina	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gravina - Rotonda	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Palmese 1914 - Gravina	4:2 ✺
20.12.23	Manfredonia - Gravina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.01.24	Altamura - Rotonda	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Altamura - Manfredonia	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Gelbison Cilento - Altamura	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Matera - Altamura	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Altamura - Bitonto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
08.10.23	Altamura - Gravina	1:0
29.01.23	Gravina - Altamura	1:1
23.09.22	Altamura - Gravina	1:1
02.02.22	Gravina - Altamura	1:0
26.09.21	Altamura - Gravina	0:1
14.04.21	Altamura - Gravina	1:0
02.02.20	Altamura - Gravina	1:1

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