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Current Win Probability
Altay 39.8%
Draw 27.6%
Adana Demirspor 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
18.4%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adana Demirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Altay - Adana Demirspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 10).
Altay has the most likely position - 16 (9.62%), has project points - 44, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Adana Demirspor has the most likely position - 13 (9.25%), has project points - 47, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Altay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Adana Demirspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Altay won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.