The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altay 45.5%
Draw 27.4%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
27.8%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
18.6%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Altay - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 7).
Altay has the most likely position - 12 (7.61%), has project points - 49, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Karagümrük has the most likely position - 7 (8.47%), has project points - 55, has currently - 14, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Altay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Karagümrük is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Altay will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Altay won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
Watch
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