Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 6

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadi (Izmir)

Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)


	Altay		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	5.25	3.69	1.7
	4.6	3.4	1.62
	4.75	3.6	1.69
	4.7	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.32)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	1.68 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Altay
19.2%

Draw
26%

Bodrumspor
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.8%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodrumspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodrumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Altay - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodrumspor will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Karatas E. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 38. Ozturk I. 5. Ozdemir S. 33. Sarikaya E. 6. Gulselam C. 8. Yildirim Z. 14. Unlu T. 77. Efe O. 32. Gezer A. 19. Paixao M.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 3. Celustka O. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 94. Coban B. 72. Gonulacar M. 8. Yalcin S. 17. Aldair 41. Bayrakdar G. 48. Dumanli C.
Substitutes
44. Altunbudak K. 45. Caliskan M. (G) 23. Demir M. 25. Gundem T. 28. Gunduz M. 21. Kizilkuyu A. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E. 9. Yildiz M.	16. Albayrak E. 20. Brazao P. 11. Imeri O. 26. Mohammed M. 19. Osman H. 6. Ozdamar S. 10. Ozer K. 90. Sevinc H. 32. Tosun B. C. (G) 29. Turk A. M.
Coaches
Uzumcu T.	Tasdemir I.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Altay is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bodrumspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bodrumspor is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
16.09.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Altay - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Kocaelispor - Altay	3:2 ✺
20.08.23	Altay - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
14.08.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Altay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
18.09.23	Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Bodrumspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Giresunspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.03.23	Bodrumspor - Altay	2:0
11.09.22	Altay - Bodrumspor	2:0

Upcoming Matches