Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium (Izmir)


	Altay		Denizli İY Güreller

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.15	2.08
	4.24	3.67	1.65
	4.2	4.34	1.62	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4.22	3.76	1.67
	2.3	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.4)	3.59 ↑ (3.27)	1.9 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
25%

Draw
26%

Denizli İY Güreller
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

Denizli İY Güreller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denizli İY Güreller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denizli İY Güreller than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denizli İY Güreller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Altay - Denizli İY Güreller Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Denizli İY will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Denizli İY (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Denizli İY (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denizli İY Güreller will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Denizli İY (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Kavlak U. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

In recent matches, Altay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Denizli İY is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Denizli IY Gureller	29	14	4	11	34:30	4	46
12	Altay	29	8	7	14	27:41	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.01.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Altay	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Altay - Uşak Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Afjet Afyonspor - Altay	0:1 ✺
16.12.25	Altay - Nazillispor	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Izmir Çoruhlu - Altay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- Denizli İY Güreller
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.01.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Nazillispor	6:0 ✺
10.01.26	Izmir Çoruhlu - Denizli İY Güreller	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Eskişehir Anadolu - Denizli İY Güreller	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Alanya 1221	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Balikesirspor - Denizli İY Güreller	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
21.09.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Altay	2:1

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