Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 36

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadi (Izmir)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)


	Altay		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.35	4.75	7.25
	1.37	4.25	6.75
	1.32	4.58	6.58
	1.32	4.33	8
	1.35	4.9	7.7
	1.34	4.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.56)	4.57 ↑ (4.24)	7.25 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
67.6%

Draw
19.9%

Denizlispor
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

16.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altay's performance.

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denizlispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denizlispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Altay - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: Altay will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altay is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Denizlispor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Altay is the unquestionable favorite.

There are questionable in Altay: Ozenc O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Denizlispor: Ozdemir O. (Ankle Injury) Saglik E. (Injury) Schwechlen L. (Injury) Yilmaz O. (Back Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
30.04.23	Boluspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Altay - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
17.04.23	Gençlerbirliği - Altay	0:0 ✺
13.04.23	Altay - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Bandırmaspor - Altay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTLL
- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
30.04.23	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Bodrumspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Denizlispor - Keçiörengücü	0:4 ✺
07.04.23	Tuzlaspor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Denizlispor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.12.22	Denizlispor - Altay	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.19	Altay - Denizlispor	3:1
18.07.19	Denizlispor - Altay	3:1
Turkish First League
03.04.19	Denizlispor - Altay	3:3
26.10.18	Altay - Denizlispor	1:3
Club Friendly
16.08.12	Altay - Denizlispor	N/A

Altay - Denizlispor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide