Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 35

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)

Referee: Kargin E. (Tur)


	Denizlispor		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	10	7	1.18	Watch
	11	6.75	1.18
	9.5	6	1.18
	12.3	7.32	1.19
	13	5.8	1.17
	12.25	6.75	1.18
	11	6.2	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.29 ↑ (8.46)	6.55 ↑ (5.32)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
8.1%

Draw
14%

Samsunspor
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

17.5%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

16.7%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Denizlispor - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 0.

Denizlispor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Samsunspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Samsunspor is indisputable favorite.

There are questionable in Denizlispor: Ozdemir O. (Ankle Injury) Saglik E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ozbaskici M. A. (Ankle Injury) Taskin B. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
23.04.23	Bodrumspor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Denizlispor - Keçiörengücü	0:4 ✺
07.04.23	Tuzlaspor - Denizlispor	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Denizlispor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Altınordu - Denizlispor	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
23.04.23	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
11.04.23	Samsunspor - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Göztepe - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	4:2 ✺
28.03.23	Boluspor - Samsunspor	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.12.22	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	5:0
20.02.22	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	5:0
27.09.21	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	2:3
22.04.18	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	2:2
10.12.17	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	0:0
24.04.16	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	2:1
05.12.15	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	0:0

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