Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 9

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Gençlerbirliği		Altay

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.1	6.25
	1.47	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.34	6.79
	1.49	4.35	6.79
	1.4	4	7
	1.46	4.25	6.2	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.79)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	6.53 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
63.8%

Draw
21.9%

Altay
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gençlerbirliği's performance.

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gençlerbirliği that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Gençlerbirliği - Altay Predictions

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ozdemir O. (G) 72. Erturk M. 24. Babacan A. 35. Cagiran M. 17. Gureler Y. (C) 7. Keskin E. 20. Kemaloglu E. 89. Amilton 6. Cagiran R. 10. Kayode O. 9. Yatabare M.	35. Karatas E. (G) 14. Unlu T. 38. Ozturk I. (C) 33. Sarikaya E. 5. Ozdemir S. 8. Yildirim Z. 17. Sarikaya S. 32. Gezer A. 28. Gunduz M. 7. Erdogan E. 19. Paixao M.
Substitutes
77. Akdemir U. 88. Bentley 91. Bostan M. 60. Cek O. 1. Cetin E. (G) 23. Demir Y. E. 61. Karakullukcu O. 8. Ozturk E. 42. Rodrigues T. 22. Yatabare S.	45. Caliskan M. (G) 77. Efe O. 25. Gundem T. 63. Kadah D. 21. Kizilkuyu A. 88. Ozkaya O. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E. 9. Yildiz M.
Coaches
Kaloglu S.	Djilali B.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
07.10.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Bandırmaspor - Gençlerbirliği	4:1 ✺
17.09.23	Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Çorum - Gençlerbirliği	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLW
- Altay SK
Turkish First League
08.10.23	Altay - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Giresunspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Altay - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Altay - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.04.23	Gençlerbirliği - Altay	0:0
21.11.22	Altay - Gençlerbirliği	1:0
10.03.19	Gençlerbirliği - Altay	1:0
05.10.18	Altay - Gençlerbirliği	0:1

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