The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altay 34.1%
Draw 29%
Gaziantep 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28.2%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
20.8%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaziantep could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Altay - Gaziantep Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
Altay has the most likely position - 18 (29.31%), has project points - 34, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Gaziantep BB has the most likely position - 10 (12.34%), has project points - 52, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality32, small importance18, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Altay is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Gaziantep BB is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.