Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Gaziantep		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.56	3.79	Watch
	1.95	3.67	4
	1.93	3.67	3.88	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.97	3.63	3.73	Watch
	1.92	3.56	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.6 ↑ (3.6)	3.78 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
48.7%

Draw
26.3%

Sivasspor
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gaziantep - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dioudis S. (G) 36. Bruno Viana 4. Kizildag A. 51. Husic A. 20. Ndiaye B. 18. Sorescu D. 10. Kozlowski K. 44. Maxim A. (C) 11. Lungoyi C. 9. Dervisoglu H. 77. Okereke D.	35. Vural A. (G) 23. Okumus A. 44. Poungouras A. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 8. Charisis C. 12. Moutoussamy S. 17. Bassan E. 80. Bekiroglu E. 22. Simic V. 9. Manaj R.
Substitutes
27. Artan O. 21. Boateng E. 71. Bozan M. (G) 6. Daubin Q. 5. Ersoy E. 17. Guler S. 19. Kodro K. 25. Ozcicek O. 8. Soyalp F. 3. Tasdemir E.	25. Aksoy O. 53. Basyigit E. 15. Bieganski J. 46. Boke T. 58. Erdal Z. 55. Koita F. 11. Menig Q. 13. Nikolic D. (G) 88. Seker T. 90. Turgunboev A.
Coaches
Inan S.	Erdogan O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Manaj R. (Pen),
28', Poungouras A. ↓, Basyigit E. ↑,
29', Charisis C. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Dervisoglu H. (A),
37', Ciftci U. 🟨,
37', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
45', Bassan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
67', Bassan E. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
67', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Daubin Q. ↑,
67', Lungoyi C. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
68', Ndiaye B. ↓, Ozcicek O. ↑,
76', Manaj R. 🟨,
80', Maxim A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
83', Simic V. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
83', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Kizildag A. ⚽, Sorescu D. (A),
90+3', Kozlowski K. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
90+4', Sorescu D. 🟨,
90+6', Guler S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 0.

Gaziantep is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sivasspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaziantep will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Saborit E. (Ankle Injury) Stephen G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Camara S. (Thigh Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:24 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:10 (average 2.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Cup
06.02.25	Göztepe - Gaziantep	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.02.25	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Gaziantep - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Gaziantep - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTW
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
08.02.25	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Kocaelispor - Sivasspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.25	Eyüpspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sivasspor - Kayserispor	5:2 ✺
20.01.25	Trabzonspor - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.09.24	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	3:2
21.01.24	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	2:2
20.08.23	Gaziantep - Sivasspor	1:3
22.01.23	Gaziantep - Sivasspor	1:2
06.08.22	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	1:1
05.02.22	Gaziantep - Sivasspor	5:1
18.09.21	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	1:1

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