Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadi (Izmir)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)


	Altay		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.93
	3.5	3.05	2
	3.65	3.2	1.92
	4.14	3.28	2
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.75	3.24	1.93
	3.65	3.2	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.05)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
24.3%

Draw
28.7%

Pendikspor
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Altay - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pendikspor have a series of home games.

Pendikspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
14.01.23	Samsunspor - Altay	2:1 ✺
24.12.22	Tuzlaspor - Altay	4:2 ✺
10.12.22	Denizlispor - Altay	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Altay - Boluspor	5:1 ✺
27.11.22	Göztepe - Altay	Altay awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLW?
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
16.01.23	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.23	Pendikspor - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	2:1 ✺
05.01.23	Pendikspor - Greuther Fürth	0:3 ✺
Turkish First League
24.12.22	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Bandırmaspor - Pendikspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
21.08.22	Pendikspor - Altay	1:0
Turkish Second League White Group
29.04.18	Pendikspor - Altay	1:3
09.12.17	Altay - Pendikspor	1:2

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