Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 19

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Altglienicke		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.2	2.28
	3	3.2	2.38
	2.95	3.32	2.24
	2.97	3.13	2.25
	2.9	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	3.21 ↓ (3.39)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altglienicke
31.3%

Draw
28.7%

Lokomotive Leipzig
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altglienicke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altglienicke than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Abderrahmane F. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Nietfeld J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Ziane D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 2, Nietfeld J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, Adetula A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altglienicke won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokomotive Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokomotive Leipzig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Altglienicke won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Altglienicke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotive Leipzig - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSG Altglienicke
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.12.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Preussen - Altglienicke	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Altglienicke - Hertha Berlin II	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Chemnitzer - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Altglienicke - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTL
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
05.12.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Magdeburg II - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:5 ✺
21.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	1:0
07.12.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	2:0
28.07.24	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1
13.02.24	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0
28.07.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	2:1
06.04.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Altglienicke	2:0
21.10.22	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2

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