Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 18

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	4.35
	1.75	3.76	4.45
	1.58	4.02	4.9
	1.66	3.6	4.53
	1.69	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)	3.76 ↓ (4.02)	4.55 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
55.1%

Draw
24.6%

Zwickau
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotive Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-5%)

Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Cevis D. 🟥,
64', 0 - 1, Fobassam O. ⚽,
87', 0 - 2, Somnitz M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Zwickau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lokomotive Leipzig is a strong favorite.

We predict that Lokomotive Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotive Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
26.11.25	Magdeburg II - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:5 ✺
21.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hallescher - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
29.11.25	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Zwickau - Chemnitzer	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Zwickau - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Preussen - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
26.07.25	Zwickau - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1
28.02.25	Zwickau - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:1
11.09.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau	3:2
19.05.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau	2:0
09.12.23	Zwickau - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:2
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau	0:2
11.07.18	Lokomotive Leipzig - Zwickau	3:0

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