Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Altona		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.8	3
	2.04	4.01	2.99
	1.94	3.75	3.15
	1.72	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.65)	3.94 ↓ (4.1)	3.24 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona
47.9%

Draw
23.5%

Hamburger II
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altona's form might have worsened.

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altona - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona won 0.

Altona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hamburg II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hamburg II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Altona is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Altona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Regionalliga North
14.09.25	Hannoverscher SC - Altona	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lübeck - Altona	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Altona - SC Weiche-08	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Oldenburg - Altona	6:2 ✺
23.08.25	Altona - Bremer SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLT
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
10.09.25	Hannoverscher SC - Hamburger II	4:1 ✺
05.09.25	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Hamburger II - Meppen	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Bremer SV - Hamburger II	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.01.24	Hamburger II - Altona	4:2
German Regionalliga North
07.11.21	Hamburger II - Altona	3:0
29.08.21	Altona - Hamburger II	0:2
13.09.20	Altona - Hamburger II	0:1
25.10.19	Hamburger II - Altona	3:0
07.05.18	Altona - Hamburger II	1:2
04.11.17	Hamburger II - Altona	2:0

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