The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bremer SV 26.9%
Draw 24.4%
Hamburger II 48.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
25%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
24.3%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bremer SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bremer SV than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bremer SV - Hamburger II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nwachukwu A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Nwachukwu A. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Schlake L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Redecker B. 🟨,
58', 4 - 0, Tunc V. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 15th in the Regionalliga North (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bremer won 2.
Bremer has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Hamburg II have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hamburg II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Bremer has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bremer against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:2 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Hamburger SV II
14
4
1
9
20:32
-12
13
18
Bremer
14
3
2
9
13:27
-14
11
Last Results with these Odds
Hamburger II - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.