Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 16

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Altona		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.85	1.92
	3.35	3.83	1.95
	3.04	4.43	1.86	Watch
	3.25	4.1	1.83
	2.71	4.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)	4.09 ↓ (4.43)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona
29.6%

Draw
22.6%

Phönix Lübeck
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

20.7%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

20.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Altona - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Luis B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Kokovas S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5).

Recent form of Altona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Phönix Lübeck has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Phönix Lübeck is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Regionalliga North
19.10.25	St. Pauli II - Altona	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Altona - Drochtersen Assel	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Altona	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Altona - Schöningen	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Hannover II - Altona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTLL
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
18.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jeddeloh - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Meppen - Phönix Lübeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
06.02.22	Phönix Lübeck - Altona	2:1
19.09.21	Altona - Phönix Lübeck	2:4
06.09.20	Altona - Phönix Lübeck	1:2

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