Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Phönix Lübeck		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.25	3.95
	1.86	3.97	3.61
	1.56	4.35	4.4
	1.54	4.4	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	4.24 ↑ (4.23)	4.13 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
55.9%

Draw
21.8%

Hamburger II
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

21.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

23.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hamburger II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', Megeed O. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Kokovas S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 1.

Phönix Lübeck has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hamburg II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Phönix Lübeck is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Phönix Lübeck won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Phönix Lübeck - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.2%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Jeddeloh - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Meppen - Phönix Lübeck	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Phönix Lübeck - Bremer SV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLW
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Hamburger II - Werder Bremen II	6:2 ✺
04.10.25	Kickers Emden - Hamburger II	3:4 ✺
01.10.25	Hamburger II - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Schöningen - Hamburger II	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Altona - Hamburger II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
01.03.25	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
30.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:1
08.05.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	6:2
14.04.24	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
26.04.23	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	2:1
25.09.22	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	3:1
20.02.22	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	2:1

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