Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino (Altos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Altos		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.25	2.3
	3.04	3.37	2.24
	2.95	3.29	2.24	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	2.85	3.18	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.51)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	2.27 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
31%

Draw
28.6%

CRB Maceio
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altos - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Careca (G) 4. Alberte 11. Cleiton 10. Dieguinho 5. Hudson 3. Joecio (C) 7. Jonathan 8. Leozidio 19. Lucas Reis 2. Rodrigo Negueba 6. Savio Maciel	12. Matheus Albino (G) 10. Daniel 34. Darlisson 27. Dioran 7. Erick Varao 22. Higor Meritao 38. Leo Pereira 2. Matheus Ribeiro 30. Miranda 14. Rhuan 31. Ronald
Substitutes
18. Digao 17. Felipe Sales 16. Jefferson Vinicius 24. Lucas Ferreira (G) 14. Marcos Antonio 15. Ray Silva 20. Reinaldo 9. Rodrigao 21. Samuel Santos 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G)	50. Baranhas 18. Fabricio . Henri 5. Lucas Kallyel 66. Mateus Pureza 33. Rodriguinho 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Erick Varao 🟨,
31', Cleiton 🟨,
38', Leozidio ↓, Digao ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Savio Maciel ↓, Jefferson Vinicius ↑,
46', Hudson ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
46', Jonathan ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
59', 🟨,
62', Cleiton ↓, Felipe Sales ↑,
65', Matheus Ribeiro ↓, Mateus Pureza ↑,
65', Leo Pereira ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Lucas Reis ⚽,
71', Lucas Reis 🟨,
74', Ronald ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
74', Higor Meritao ↓, Lucas Kallyel ↑,
76', Lucas Kallyel 🟨,
78', Dioran ↓, Fabricio ↑,
80', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Mateus Pureza ⚽,
86', Mateus Pureza 🟨,
86', Alberte 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Altos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently CRB have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Altos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
31.01.25	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Altos - Atlético Piauiense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Sousa - Altos	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
18.01.25	Ríver PI - Altos	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Altos - Fluminense Piaui	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLWW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
05.02.25	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
01.02.25	Murici - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	CRB Maceio - Penedense	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
24.01.25	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.03.24	CRB Maceio - Altos	2:0
10.04.21	CRB Maceio - Altos	1:1
Copa do Brasil
08.02.17	Altos - CRB Maceio	2:0

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