Match Info

Alagoano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Record


	CS Alagoano		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.75	2.74	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.68	2.7	2.71
	3.4	2.85	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.3)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	2.56 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
31.5%

Draw
33.1%

CRB Maceio
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

31.4%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wellerson R. (G) 11. Buba 99. Ciel (C) 8. Fabricio Bigode 6. Kaike 5. Kayllan 17. Marcos Ytalo 3. Marlon Lopes 10. Matheus Melo 4. Rayan 7. Robinho	12. Matheus Albino (G) 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 97. Dada Belmonte 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 44. Henri 32. Hereda 9. Joao Neto 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro
Substitutes
12. Arthur Silveira (G) 20. Dudu Figueiredo 16. Felix Jorge 18. Igor Guilherme 13. Lucao 27. Lucas Serafini 21. Matheus Souza 15. Pitbull R. 14. Ramon 25. Rian Santana 19. Samuel 22. Vitinho	22. Bressan 16. David Braw 18. Geovane 11. Guilherme Pato 5. Lucas Kallyel 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 60. Maycon 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace 42. Weverton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Matheus Albino 🟨,
19', Wellerson R. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Douglas Baggio (Penalty Awarded),
25', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
27', Marcos Ytalo ↓, Lucas Serafini ↑,
44', 🟨,
45', Danielzinho 🟨,
45+1', Robinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marlon Lopes ↓, Rian Santana ↑,
46', Matheus Melo ↓, Dudu Figueiredo ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Matheus Souza ↑,
56', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
57', Fabricio Bigode 🟨,
61', Pedro Castro ↓, Luizao ↑,
61', Douglas Baggio ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Vinicius Barata ⚽,
69', Vinicius Barata 🟨,
72', Joao Neto ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
72', Lucas Lovat ↓, Wallace ↑,
73', Buba ↓, Samuel ↑,
76', Danielzinho ↓, Geovane ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSA won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSA won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.6:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.02.26	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
12.02.26	Coruripe - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.02.26	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
04.02.26	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
01.02.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.02.26	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
11.02.26	Dimensão Capela - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.02.26	Coruripe - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
28.01.26	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.02.26	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	2:0
24.01.26	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
05.02.25	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
25.01.25	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	2:3
28.01.24	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.03.23	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
28.01.23	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	3:1

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