The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altos 45.6%
Draw 29.4%
Sampaio Corrêa 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
25.7%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
24%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Altos - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Junior Mandacaru ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Adriano ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
Altos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sampaio Corrêa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Altos might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Altos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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