Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Altos

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.87	3.1
	2.24	2.8	3.35
	2.2	2.92	3.42
	2.25	2.78	3.52
	2.22	2.75	3.52
	2.24	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)	3.38 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
40.9%

Draw
32.2%

Altos
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa - Altos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Alberte ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In recent matches, Sampaio Corrêa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Altos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
07.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Tocantinópolis - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLT
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Altos - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Iguatu - Altos	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Altos - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Parnahyba - Altos	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Altos - Tocantinópolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.01.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Altos	2:1
23.03.21	Altos - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1

Sampaio Corrêa - Altos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide