Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Altrincham		Bromley

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.75
	1.72	3.8	4.1
	1.82	3.96	4.08
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	1.79	3.72	4.05
	1.81	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.52)	3.67 ↑ (3.41)	3.83 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
50.9%

Draw
25.1%

Bromley
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altrincham's performance.

Bromley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bromley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altrincham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bromley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Altrincham - Bromley Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Bromley will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altrincham: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ross E. (G) 11. Amaluzor J. 14. Angus D. 2. Banks L. 10. Conn-Clarke C. 27. Crankshaw O. 3. Jones E. 5. Jones J. 8. Marriott I. 6. Osborne E. 16. Roscoe S.	1. Smith G. (G) 9. Cheek M. 11. Dennis L. 28. Krauhaus B. 16. Okoli C. 7. Passley J. 2. Reynolds C. 23. Topalloj B. 17. Webster B. 18. Whitely C. 6. Woods S.
Substitutes
4. Baines L. 32. Burroughs G. 15. Cooper J. 22. Jones J. 7. Kosylo M.	20. Arthurs J. 32. Aziaya D. (G) 12. Jones R. 25. Miller T. 21. Vennings J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 0.

Altrincham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Bromley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bromley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Altrincham is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
28.08.23	Fylde - Altrincham	3:3 ✺
26.08.23	Altrincham - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Altrincham - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	York City - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Woking - Altrincham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWTTW
- Bromley FC
English National League
28.08.23	Bromley - Southend United	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Rochdale - Bromley	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Bromley	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Bromley - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Bromley - Barnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.02.23	Altrincham - Bromley	1:2
13.08.22	Bromley - Altrincham	0:0
10.05.22	Bromley - Altrincham	1:1
11.12.21	Altrincham - Bromley	0:1
27.02.21	Bromley - Altrincham	3:1
24.11.20	Altrincham - Bromley	0:1
09.04.16	Altrincham - Bromley	0:0

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