Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Altrincham		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2
	3.15	3.55	2.08
	3.28	3.84	2.06
	9.52	4.27	1.36	Watch
	3.33	3.58	2.05
	2.8	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (2.96)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
23.3%

Draw
26.7%

Carlisle United
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altrincham's form might have worsened.

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Altrincham - Carlisle United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Altrincham (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 2. Banks L. 7. Crankshaw O. 22. Crawford T. 23. Golden T. 11. Knowles J. 8. Marriott I. 6. Osborne E. (C) 20. Reddin K. 3. Reed S. 34. Sassi D.	1. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 3. Harper C. 9. Kelly G. 10. Linney R. 11. Luamba J. 26. Mugabi B. 4. Thomas T. (C) 16. Wearne S.
Substitutes
4. Baines L. 5. Cooper J. 27. Fallon L. (G) 9. Gale J. 40. Kirk C. 14. Kosylo M. 10. Ward K.	7. Ajiboye D. 5. Feeney M. 24. Grant J. 21. Jones J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 37. Macadam H. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Banks L. (Own goal),
16', Harper C. 🟨,
17', Kelly G. 🟨,
19', Gilliead A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Knowles J. (Pen),
20', Thomas T. 🟨,
24', Osborne E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Linney R. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
45+3', Crawford T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Harper C. 🟨,
68', Crankshaw O. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
68', Marriott I. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
72', Wearne S. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
80', Knowles J. ↓, Kosylo M. ↑,
80', Linney R. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
80', Luamba J. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
84', Davies A. ↓, Feeney M. ↑,
86', Ellis J. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Crawford T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Altrincham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
13.09.25	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Eastleigh - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Altrincham - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Carlisle United
English National League
13.09.25	Carlisle United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Carlisle United - Truro City	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Brackley Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Carlisle United - Braintree Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

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