The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altrincham 28.9%
Draw 25.1%
Carlisle United 46%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
25%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Altrincham - Carlisle United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).
Altrincham has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carlisle is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Altrincham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Carlisle holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Altrincham has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Altrincham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Altrincham
15
9
1
5
22:20
2
28
12
Carlisle
14
5
5
4
25:21
4
20
Last Results with these Odds
Altrincham - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Carlisle United - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.