Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - ROUND 16

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Krško

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.25	10.5
	1.2	5.15	11
	1.22	5.2	9
	1.27	5.04	10.34
	1.2	4.75	11
	1.23	5.5	9.5
	1.23	5.4	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	5.18 ↑ (4.15)	10.13 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
73.7%

Draw
17.4%

Krško
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aluminij Kidricevo's performance.

Krško has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aluminij Kidricevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krško than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Krško Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Krško will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Relegation) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 3.

Aluminij is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krško is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aluminij could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aluminij is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Aluminij won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian Cup
09.11.22	Idrija - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:5 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.11.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Krka	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Bilje	4:0 ✺
14.10.22	Dob - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWWL
- NK Krško
Slovenian 2 SNL
05.11.22	Rogaška - Krško	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Krško - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:4 ✺
26.10.22	Krško - Dob	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Rudar Velenje - Krško	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Krka - Krško	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
30.07.22	Krško - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.05.19	Krško - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3
07.04.19	Aluminij Kidricevo - Krško	1:1
11.11.18	Krško - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3
Slovenian Cup
31.10.18	Aluminij Kidricevo - Krško	0:0
24.10.18	Krško - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2
Slovenian PrvaLiga
31.08.18	Aluminij Kidricevo - Krško	1:0

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