Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nafta		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.05	3.5	2.95
	2.19	3.3	2.7
	2.23	3.66	2.81
	2.18	3.48	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.45)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	2.82 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
41.7%

Draw
26.2%

Aluminij Kidricevo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nafta's performance.

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Relegation)).

Nafta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aluminij is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nafta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nafta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nafta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nafta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.08.22	Rogaška - Nafta	3:3 ✺
19.08.22	Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:0 ✺
12.08.22	Krško - Nafta	1:3 ✺
05.08.22	Nafta - Krka	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Primorje - Nafta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.08.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Rudar Velenje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Rogaška - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
05.08.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Krško - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.06.21	Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2

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