Match Info

Prva liga - Round 13

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Novarlic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	17:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 8
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 1


	Nafta		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.70
	2.28	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.38	3.73	2.83
	2.35	3.66	2.74	Watch
	2.3	3.65	2.7
	2.33	3.36	2.55	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)	3.53 ↑ (3.52)	2.71 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
39.8%

Draw
26.1%

Aluminij Kidricevo
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 20. Ferreira A. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 21. Omrani S. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 30. Vidnyanszky M. 7. Zorica J.	31. Raduha F. (G) 12. Bekavac A. 14. Jagic T. (C) 11. Osuji B. 44. Petrisko P. 10. Ramsak R. 4. Schaubach R. 80. Sorensen H. 32. Tezak V. 13. Vrbanec M. 3. Zajsek D.
Substitutes
16. Bobson D. 90. Jamiu U. 11. Jasaragic A. 23. Kambic L. 99. Micic A. 89. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 19. Sarr A. 97. Vallejo M.	25. Bajraj M. 27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 23. Kramberger E. 7. Mladenovic M. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 18. Rogina S. 20. Svrznjak I. 66. Tomazic L. (G)
Coaches
Escudero G.	Arsic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Bekavac A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Zajsek D. 🟨,
72', Dragoner A. 🟨,
77', Petrisko P. ↓, Mladenovic M. ↑,
77', Osuji B. ↓, Bajraj M. ↑,
77', Ramsak R. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
82', Vidnyanszky M. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
82', Vrbanec M. ↓, Svrznjak I. ↑,
86', Omrani S. ↓, Pihler L. ↑,
86', Marosa A. ↓, Bobson D. ↑,
88', Schaubach R. 🟨,
90+2', Vallejo M. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 7th).

In recent outings, Nafta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aluminij has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Nafta has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Nafta has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nafta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nafta	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18
7	Aluminij	13	3	5	5	16:13	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Nafta - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian Cup
23.10.26	Triglav - Nafta	2:1 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.10.26	Mura - Nafta	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Nafta - NK Bravo	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Koper - Nafta	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWLW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian Cup
23.10.26	Brežice - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
16.10.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
09.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Nafta	1:1
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.03.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Nafta	1:1
04.09.22	Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:3
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Nafta - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2

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