Match Info

Prva liga - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Referee: Sabanagic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Radomlje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.59
	1.99	3.79	3.37	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.91	3.46	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.56 ↓ (3.79)	3.45 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
47.2%

Draw
26%

Radomlje
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Radomlje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomlje than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rozman M. (G) 41. Evangelou S. 11. Feta B. 14. Jagic T. (C) 42. Koderman V. 88. Korun U. 66. Simonic M. 45. Susso B. 20. Svrznjak I. 13. Vrbanec M. 3. Zeljkovic A.	1. Pridgar S. (G) 6. Gnjatic O. (C) 7. Ikenna D. 22. Jojic N. 5. Klampfer E. 12. Mamic M. 3. Marinic A. 9. Pelko V. 10. Pogacar A. 77. Zaler Z. 27. Zaper M.
Substitutes
9. Bloudek A. 5. Feratovic A. 6. Kocar O. 8. Maher R. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 2. Pecnik G. 77. Pejic J. 44. Petrisko B. 18. Rogina S. 10. Saitoski E. 99. Stamenkovic A. 7. Taylor E.	73. Churakov D. (G) 2. Dvorsak M. 87. Graonic B. 80. Jelen J. 66. Kantuzer D. 85. Klancir P. 19. Kobal J. (G) 98. Krapukhin S. 20. Kusic L. 55. Mazreku D. 17. Meznar F.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Trenchovski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jojic N. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Pelko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
46', Simonic M. ↓, Kocar O. ↑,
59', Vrbanec M. ↓, Saitoski E. ↑,
59', Jagic T. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
65', Pelko V. ↓, Krapukhin S. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Feta B. ⚽,
70', Svrznjak I. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
75', Ikenna D. ↓, Graonic B. ↑,
75', Mamic M. ↓, Kusic L. ↑,
89', Jojic N. ↓, Kantuzer D. ↑,
89', Pogacar A. ↓, Jelen J. ↑,
90+1', Jelen J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 3.

Aluminij has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Radomlje's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aluminij could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Aluminij: 0.34% Radomlje: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	5	13
10	Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Radomlje - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
11.03.26	Fužinar Ravne - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:4 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Koper	2:4 ✺
05.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TLWLW
- NK Radomlje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.03.26	Mura - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Radomlje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Radomlje - NK Bravo	1:3 ✺
Slovenian Cup
04.03.26	Jadran Dekani - Radomlje	2:4 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
28.02.26	Maribor - Radomlje	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.01.26	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1
26.09.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje	2:1
18.07.25	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2
15.04.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje	1:1
20.02.24	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2
22.10.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje	0:2
12.08.23	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:2

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