Match Info

Prva liga - Round 30

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Referee: Borosak A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Mura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.35	2.45
	2.65	3.56	2.64
	2.53	3.57	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.48	3.3	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.52 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
36.3%

Draw
27.1%

Mura
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Aluminij Kidricevo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Mura will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mura: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mura (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rozman M. (G) 25. Ceh L. 41. Evangelou S. 5. Feratovic A. 11. Feta B. 14. Jagic T. (C) 42. Koderman V. 4. Schaubach R. 20. Svrznjak I. 7. Taylor E. 13. Vrbanec M.	1. Dermastija N. (G) 18. Agbevor G. 42. Boben M. 5. Jelic I. 24. Komljenovic S. 88. Korosec A. 10. Kouter N. 30. Kurtovic K. 26. Proleta B. 9. Rose F. 16. Turudija L.
Substitutes
9. Bloudek A. 6. Kocar O. 88. Korun U. 17. Kosi F. 8. Maher R. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 77. Pejic J. 44. Petrisko B. 18. Rogina S. 66. Simonic M. 99. Stamenkovic A. 3. Zeljkovic A.	22. Ajhmajer N. 6. Antolin A. 81. Antonic N. (G) 99. Caks R. 33. Fermisek Z. (G) 7. Kasalo N. 23. Kovacic J. 14. Krupic E. 11. Kulenovic V. 19. Ljukovac H. 21. Petrovic Z. 2. Sana F.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Slavic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Agbevor G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Komljenovic S. ↓, Ajhmajer N. ↑,
46', Agbevor G. ↓, Sana F. ↑,
50', Turudija L. 🟨,
54', Taylor E. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
61', Kurtovic K. 🟨,
66', Evangelou S. 🟨,
71', Turudija L. ↓, Kulenovic V. ↑,
73', Vrbanec M. ↓, Simonic M. ↑,
73', Svrznjak I. ↓, Pejic J. ↑,
73', Feratovic A. ↓, Korun U. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Feta B. ⚽, Ceh L. (A),
78', Ceh L. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
79', Rose F. ↓, Kovacic J. ↑,
79', Boben M. ↓, Kasalo N. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Kulenovic V. ⚽, Ajhmajer N. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 2.

Recent form of Aluminij has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mura has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mura has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Mura: 0.34% Aluminij: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	5	13
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9

Last Results with these Odds

Mura - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
11.03.26	Fužinar Ravne - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.04.26	Mura - NK Bravo	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mura - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Maribor - Mura	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mura - Primorje	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.02.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:3
17.10.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura	2:2
02.08.25	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1
29.04.24	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:1
01.03.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura	2:0
04.11.23	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0
25.08.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura	0:1

Upcoming Matches