Match Info

Prva liga - Round 35

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Referee: Begic A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Primorje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	2.08	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.12	3.65	3.39
	2.09	3.53	3.32	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	2	3.42	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.29 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
45.8%

Draw
26.2%

Primorje
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Primorje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aluminij Kidricevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Primorje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Primorje will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Primorje (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Primorje (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Primorje (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Primorje (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Raduha F. (G) 9. Bloudek A. 21. Drevensek L. 6. Kocar O. 90. Koren N. 88. Korun U. 8. Maher R. 2. Pecnik G. (C) 77. Pejic J. 44. Petrisko B. 18. Rogina S.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Bagnack M. 24. Dzevahiric F. 9. Gulic M. 21. Jermol N. 4. Klemencic T. 13. Petek G. 14. Prosen N. 32. Rak N. 33. Strajnar M. 10. Zavnik M.
Substitutes
11. Feta B. 42. Koderman V. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 92. Pongracic F. 10. Saitoski E. 34. Schaubach M. 66. Simonic M. 99. Stamenkovic A. 45. Susso B. 7. Taylor E. 3. Zeljkovic A.	2. Bameyi D. 17. Besir Z. 8. Demirovic E. 3. Fogec M. 28. Jovanovic S. 99. Kadric H. 22. Macan T. (G) 80. Mutavcic M. 11. Parmac M. 72. Pavlev D. 31. Rafiu I. 77. Santor L.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Zlogar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pecnik G. 🟨,
20', Gulic M. 🟨,
34', Jermol N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dzevahiric F. ↓, Kadric H. ↑,
46', Prosen N. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
61', Pejic J. ↓, Feta B. ↑,
61', Petrisko B. ↓, Koderman V. ↑,
61', Koren N. ↓, Stamenkovic A. ↑,
67', Gulic M. ↓, Rafiu I. ↑,
72', Rogina S. ↓, Modric T. ↑,
72', Pecnik G. ↓, Schaubach M. ↑,
76', Bagnack M. ↓, Bameyi D. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation))

Primorje is Prva liga (Relegation)

In recent matches, Aluminij has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Primorje is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aluminij may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aluminij has had a series of away games.

Aluminij might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Aluminij: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian Cup
13.05.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
09.05.26	Koper - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	5:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
23.04.26	NK Bravo - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.04.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWL
- ND Primorje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.05.26	Primorje - Mura	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Primorje	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Primorje - Radomlje	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Maribor - Primorje	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	NK Bravo - Primorje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
15.03.26	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0
28.11.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:0
14.09.25	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	4:1
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.05.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:1
30.10.22	Primorje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1

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