Match Info

Prva liga - Round 20

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Referee: Matkovic A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	SportKlub


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.8	Watch
	4.05	3.69	1.86
	4.05	3.76	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.8
	3.99	3.52	1.77	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.75)	3.55 ↓ (4.03)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
23.2%

Draw
25.9%

Olimpija Ljubljana
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

23.1%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpija Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Olimpija will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpija: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Olimpija (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Olimpija (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olimpija Ljubljana will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aluminij (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Olimpija (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mrezar A. (G) 11. Feta B. 6. Kocar O. 42. Koderman V. 88. Korun U. 10. Saitoski E. 4. Schaubach R. 45. Susso B. 20. Svrznjak I. 7. Taylor E. 3. Zeljkovic A. (C)	26. Vidovsek M. (C) 27. Ananou F. 11. Blanco A. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Gorenc J. 8. Lourenco B. 99. Marin A. 20. Motika N. 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 97. Ofori K. 15. Ristic M.
Substitutes
9. Bloudek A. 25. Ceh L. 21. Drevensek L. 14. Jagic T. 90. Koren N. 17. Kosi F. 8. Maher R. 2. Pecnik G. 44. Petrisko B. 77. Petrisko P. 97. Raduha F. (G) 18. Rogina S.	45. Acimovic M. 18. Brest M. 52. Dajcar M. (G) 28. Diga 4. Jelenkovic V. 9. Kojic D. 14. Kurtic J. 38. Malov D. 10. Mitrovski D. 3. Urbancic J. 31. Vasic T. (G) 7. Zlibanovic M.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Bessone F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Marin A. ⚽, Ananou F. (A),
30', Koderman V. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Motika N. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Susso B. ⚽, Taylor E. (A),
40', Motika N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Zeljkovic A. 🟨,
54', Ananou F. 🟨,
61', Lourenco B. ↓, Kurtic J. ↑,
61', Ananou F. ↓, Brest M. ↑,
62', Svrznjak I. ↓, Petrisko P. ↑,
62', Saitoski E. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
62', Kocar O. ↓, Jagic T. ↑,
65', Kurtic J. 🟨,
68', Ofori K. ↓, Mitrovski D. ↑,
68', Blanco A. ↓, Urbancic J. ↑,
73', Koderman V. ↓, Kosi F. ↑,
77', Mitrovski D. 🟨,
78', Taylor E. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
81', Motika N. ↓, Kojic D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 0.

Aluminij may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpija is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

O. Ljubljana: 15.45% Aluminij: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	O. Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10:8	2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.01.26	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Wolfsberger - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Wisła Płock - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
06.12.25	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLLWT
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
31.01.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
04.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Radomlje	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.10.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1
26.07.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:3
20.04.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	5:0
24.02.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:4
29.10.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:0
19.08.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:5
Slovenian Cup
26.04.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1

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