Match Info

Prva liga - Round 12

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Halilovic D. (Slo)


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.50	1.85
	3.5	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.95	3.65	1.92
	3.83	3.65	1.89	Watch
	3.85	3.55	1.86
	3.69	3.44	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.92)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
24.8%

Draw
26.2%

Olimpija Ljubljana
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olimpija will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Raduha F. (G) 12. Bekavac A. 5. Boben M. 14. Jagic T. (C) 11. Osuji B. 44. Petrisko P. 10. Ramsak R. 6. Simunic D. 80. Sorensen H. 32. Tezak V. 13. Vrbanec M.	26. Vidovsek M. (C) 14. Bendra K. 17. Cuni M. 34. Doffo A. 30. Gorenc J. 9. Kojic D. 90. Miskovic R. 10. Mitrovski D. 15. Ristic M. 19. Tuci I. 3. Urbancic J.
Substitutes
25. Bajraj M. 27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 23. Kramberger E. 7. Mladenovic M. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 18. Rogina S. 45. Susso B. 20. Svrznjak I. 66. Tomazic L. (G) 3. Zajsek D.	18. Brest M. 28. Diga 71. Goga T. 33. Govea J. 55. Henjak M. 79. Kallon Y. 8. Lourenco B. 99. Marin A. 6. Perea L. 22. Pintol D. (G) 11. Rose F. 24. Tamm A.
Coaches
Arsic J.	Trenchovski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Osuji B. 🟨,
13', Tuci I. 🟨,
43', Boben M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bekavac A. ↓, Zajsek D. ↑,
46', Sorensen H. ↓, Svrznjak I. ↑,
50', Urbancic J. 🟨,
59', Tezak V. 🟨,
61', Cuni M. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Kojic D. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Mitrovski D. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
72', Ramsak R. ↓, Bajraj M. ↑,
72', Petrisko P. ↓, Mladenovic M. ↑,
74', Simunic D. 🟨,
81', Jagic T. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
90+2', Perea L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 0.

Aluminij has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Olimpija shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Olimpija could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Olimpija is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aluminij has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:44 (averaging 0.9:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aluminij against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 10:19 goals (averaging 1.1:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	O. Ljubljana	12	5	3	4	14:11	3	18
7	Aluminij	12	3	4	5	16:13	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Aluminij Kidricevo - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.09.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
05.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTTWT
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Koper - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0
11.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1
05.02.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2
03.10.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1
26.07.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:3
20.04.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	5:0
24.02.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:4

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