Match Info

IRAN: PERSIAN GULF PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Aluminium Arak		Naft Masjed Soleyman

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	7.25
	1.45	3.71	7.63
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.45	3.74	7.7	Watch
	1.48	3.55	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	7.2 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
61.7%

Draw
25.6%

Naft Masjed Soleyman
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aluminium Arak's performance.

Naft Masjed Soleyman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Masjed Soleyman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aluminium Arak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Masjed Soleyman than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Masjed Soleyman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aluminium Arak - Naft Masjed Soleyman Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aluminium Arak will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Naft Masjed Soleyman will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Aluminium Arak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Naft Masjed Soleyman is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aluminium Arak is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aluminium Arak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
06.05.23	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Aluminium Arak - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
14.04.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
07.04.23	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal	0:1 ✺
30.03.23	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTLT
- Naft Masjed Soleyman
Iran Pro League
05.05.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Sepahan	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
06.04.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:0 ✺
30.03.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Tractor Sazi	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
30.12.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Aluminium Arak	0:1
28.02.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Aluminium Arak	0:0
18.11.21	Aluminium Arak - Naft Masjed Soleyman	2:1
30.07.21	Aluminium Arak - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:1
13.02.21	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Aluminium Arak	1:2

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