Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday

Location: Vatani Stadium (Qa'em Shahr)


	Nassaji Mazandaran		Aluminium Arak

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.5	3
	2.6	2.26	2.9
	2.8	2.49	3.05
	2.85	2.48	2.99
	2.78	2.51	3.02
	2.6	2.26	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.53)	2.42 ↓ (2.57)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
32.9%

Draw
37%

Aluminium Arak
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

35.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

36.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Aluminium Arak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	71.4%	28.6%

Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aluminium Arak will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Rezaei A. (G) 55. Seifi M. 68. Houshmand A. 20. Sohrabian A. 52. Merkel A. 8. Kalantari A. 5. Samdaliri A. 6. Bagheri M. 32. Hardani S. 14. Pakdel H. 10. Zamehran H.	1. Khalifeh M. (G) 2. Gharari E. 83. Goudarzi B. 6. Haji Eidi A. 4. Soleimani A. 70. Badragheh M. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 79. Lotfi M. 5. Noori A. 16. Jafari R. 69. Kazemian A.
Substitutes
81. Barzegar A. 31. Darvishi S. R. . Fadaei K. 40. Mahmoudi M. (G) 26. Mehdipour M. 3. Mohammadzadeh V. 76. Reza Hosseini S. M. 87. Sheikhirad A. 19. Tabar H. 30. Yamga K.	9. Bozorg S. 88. Ghanbari A. 27. Latifi A. 11. Marzban R. 22. Moradian E. (G) 26. Norouzifard B. 47. Norouzi H. 39. Rahmani M. 30. Rezaei A. 77. Vatandoust A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Merkel A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Soleimani A. 🟨,
60', Soleimani A. ↓, Ghanbari A. ↑,
60', Merkel A. 🟨,
65', Hardani S. ↓, Yamga K. ↑,
66', Houshmand A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Goudarzi B. ⚽,
74', Jafari R. ↓, Bozorg S. ↑,
79', Merkel A. ↓, Mehdipour M. ↑,
81', Kalantari A. ↓, Mohammadzadeh V. ↑,
90', Pakdel H. ↓, Tabar H. ↑,
90+1', Rezaei A. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Noori A. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nassaji won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Aluminium Arak have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nassaji won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:12 (average 0.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Nassaji won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
21.01.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
02.01.25	Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
27.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Tractor Sazi	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTWT
- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
20.01.25	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
02.01.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:0 ✺
27.12.24	Malavan - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
02.12.24	Aluminium Arak - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
22.08.24	Aluminium Arak - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1
17.03.24	Aluminium Arak - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
09.02.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak	0:1
Iran Pro League
17.10.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak	0:1
14.04.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak	0:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.02.23	Aluminium Arak - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 penalties
Iran Pro League
28.10.22	Aluminium Arak - Nassaji Mazandaran	3:0

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