Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Imam Khomeini (Arak)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	IRIB Varzesh


	Aluminium Arak		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.3
	2.38	2.58	3.5
	2.37	2.9	3.47
	3.00	2.42	2.99	Watch
	2.41	2.62	3.52	Watch
	2.39	2.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.83)	2.65 ↓ (3.06)	3.38 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
37.5%

Draw
35%

Shams Azar Qazvin
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aluminium Arak's form might have worsened.

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shams Azar Qazvin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminium Arak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Shams Azar Qazvin (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 4. Houshmand A. 41. Jorjani Y. 26. Norouzifard B. 2. Goudarzi B. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 5. Noori A. 18. Ghanbari A. 13. Mahdavi M. 80. Kahrizi A. 78. Jafari R.	1. Jafarpour A. (G) 6. Mohebi S. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 33. Rabizadeh H. 77. Moamelehgari F. 48. Sorgi M. 10. Mohkamkar A. 8. Bahiraei H. 80. Aghamohammadi M. 17. Mamizadeh M. 9. Fadakar S.
Substitutes
22. Amini A. (G) 70. Badragheh M. 90. Ezhdehakosh K. 25. Gharachmaqlou O. 17. Hosseini S. 6. Kamalvand S. 57. Khodayarifard M. 11. Marzban R. 7. Reza Hosseini S. M. 3. Sokhtanloo A. 77. Vatandoust A.	66. Azadeh M. 4. Daghagheleh A. 27. Fazooni R. 88. Jellokhani A. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 16. Mansouri M. 71. Moazemitabar S. 14. Pouresmaeil A. 11. Shojaeian D. 60. Torabi M. 99. Zand A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Norouzifard B. 🟨,
45', Mohebi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Houshmand A. 🟨,
63', Houshmand A. 🟥,
65', Sorgi M. 🟨,
73', Fadakar S. 🟨,
75', Mohebi S. 🟨,
82', Aghamohammadi M. ↓, Azadeh M. ↑,
82', Jafari R. ↓, Marzban R. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Goudarzi B. ⚽,
88', Mohkamkar A. ↓, Fazooni R. ↑,
90+7', Ghanbari A. ↓, Badragheh M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Aluminium Arak is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aluminium Arak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminium Arak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Zob Ahan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Aluminium Arak	4:1 ✺
25.08.25	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Paykan	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chadormalou Ardakan	4:4 ✺
19.08.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
15.05.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	1:3
02.01.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:0
08.03.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	2:1
30.08.23	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0

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