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Current Win Probability
Alverca B 57.5%
Draw 25.6%
União de Tomar 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
24.5%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
23.8%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
União de Tomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Alverca B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tomar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alverca B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.