Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Mortágua		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.01	2.8	4.1
	2.1	3.07	3.58
	2.01	2.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.23)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	3.72 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
44.1%

Draw
31.4%

Alverca B
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mortágua - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', 🟥,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Mortágua is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alverca B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mortágua will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.03.25	Sertanense - Mortágua	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Mortágua - União de Coimbra	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mortágua - Peniche	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWTT
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.03.25	Alverca B - Arronches Benfica	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alverca B - Fatima	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - Alverca B	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Pombal - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.12.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2
25.02.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2
01.11.23	Mortágua - Alverca B	0:0

Mortágua - Alverca B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide