Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Alzira		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.6	2.4
	3.2	2.6	2.45
	3.1	2.7	2.4
	3.49	2.61	2.53
	3.08	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)	2.66 ↓ (2.87)	2.46 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alzira
28.6%

Draw
34.3%

Real Murcia
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

32.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

22.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alzira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alzira - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Alzira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Murcia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alzira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	Hércules - Alzira	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Alzira - Eldense	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	La Nucía - Alzira	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Alzira - El Ejido	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	Alzira - Levante B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Real Murcia - CSKA Moscow	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	Real Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Real Murcia - Granada B	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.22	Real Murcia - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.10.21	Real Murcia - Alzira	1:0

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