Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Intercity		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4.4	3.2	1.71
	4.7	3.6	1.69
	4.65	3.57	1.75
	4.6	3.79	1.65	Watch
	5.13	3.8	1.6
	4.7	3.6	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
19.6%

Draw
25.7%

Real Murcia
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

27.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Intercity - Real Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Murcia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Freixanet P. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 15. Perez A. 20. Codina M. 22. Montero Sergio 6. Gracia J. 5. Llonch P. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Martinez B. 26. Ron K.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 4. Saveljich E. 6. Gonzalez A. 21. Cadete 30. Palmberg 24. Moha Moukhliss 9. Benito P. A. P. 22. Juan Carlos 20. Davo 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
13. Casado S. (G) 3. Diallo M. 4. Hernandez A. 9. Locadia J. 19. Mestanza A. 14. Modeste A. 29. Paredes A. 21. Sito 11. Stor L.	12. Alcania R. 16. Boateng R. 7. Buron L. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A. 15. Yriarte J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Gonzalez N. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
59', Ron K. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
59', San Emeterio B. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Yriarte J. ⚽,
80', Gracia J. ↓, Modeste A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Intercity won 2.

Intercity has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murcia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Intercity may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Intercity won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Intercity won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Intercity	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Villarreal B - Intercity	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Intercity - Antequera	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	4:1 ✺
28.03.25	Intercity - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.04.25	Real Murcia - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Alcorcón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Real Murcia - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Betis B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	1:1
18.02.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1
18.11.23	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0
30.04.23	Real Murcia - Intercity	0:1
04.09.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.02.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0
19.09.21	Real Murcia - Intercity	2:0

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