Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Antequera		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.05	2.98	2.35
	2.57	2.96	2.86	Watch
	2.99	2.88	2.4
	2.5	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.54)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.51 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
32.4%

Draw
31.1%

Real Murcia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Antequera - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez S. (G) 20. Aspra J. 15. Raul Gimenez 4. Barbu 19. Rodriguez I. 25. Nico Njalla 6. Ramos D. 10. Luismi Gutierrez 22. Quintana A. 7. Biabiany J. 9. Ribeiro	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 34. Sanchez J. G. 26. Perez H. 3. Romero C. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 16. Antonio David 10. Gomez I. 31. Djanbou S. 11. Bustos A. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
12. Ajouaou V. . Albentosa R. 13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 18. Bassele M. 21. Chit O. 23. Diz Acena R. 16. Gene A. 17. Gonzalez I. 24. Rivas L. 14. Sanchez E. 11. Siddiki O.	9. Benito P. A. P. 22. Juan Carlos 35. Kajaia S. (G) 14. Leon P. 4. Lopez A. 19. Matheus Cadorini 8. Schalk A. 39. Sylla A. 18. Vicente D. 20. Zenitagoia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Antonio David ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
67', Nico Njalla ↓, Gene A. ↑,
72', Ribeiro ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
72', Aspra J. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
72', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Chit O. ↑,
79', Mier J. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
79', Bosilj D. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,
90+5', Siddiki O. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14)

Antequera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Antequera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Antequera - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Antequera - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Algeciras - Antequera	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Antequera - Hércules	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Villarreal B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Real Murcia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Betis B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:1 penalties
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.05.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	0:0
12.01.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	2:1
12.05.24	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2
10.12.23	Real Murcia - Antequera	1:2

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