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Current Win Probability
Roda 25.3%
Draw 30.5%
Atlético Saguntino 44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
30.1%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Roda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Atlético Saguntino have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Roda - Atlético Saguntino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+10', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+13', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
Roda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Saguntino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Saguntino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Saguntino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).