Match Info

Copa do Brasil U20 - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	América MG U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.15	2.88
	3.71	2.08	2.97	Watch
	2.26	3.18	2.93
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.17)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América MG U20
35.8%

Draw
32.3%

Vasco da Gama U20
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América MG U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Karlos ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, Caue Araujo ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2.

In recent matches, América MG U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vasco U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América MG U20
Copa do Brasil U20
22.10.25	América MG U20 - Vila Nova U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
04.10.25	América MG U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - América MG U20	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	América MG U20 - Athletic Club U20	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Futgol U20 - América MG U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWT
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
25.10.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
22.10.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Cuiabá U20	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Carioca U20
18.10.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Bangu U20	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Maricá U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
12.03.25	América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1
21.08.21	América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	4:1
07.12.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - América MG U20	3:2
04.09.19	América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:3
Copa do Brasil U20
17.04.19	Vasco da Gama U20 - América MG U20	0:1
10.04.19	América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:3

América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20