The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América MG U20 35.8%
Draw 32.3%
Vasco da Gama U20 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28.6%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
29.4%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América MG U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América MG U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
América MG U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Karlos ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, Caue Araujo ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2.
In recent matches, América MG U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vasco U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vasco U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Watch
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