The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amanat Baghdad 36%
Draw 32.6%
Al-Karkh 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.3%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
30.5%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amanat Baghdad's form might have worsened.
Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amanat Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Amanat Baghdad - Al Karkh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Saleh M. ⚽,
90+9', Barhi A. 🟥,
90+11', 1 - 1, Kareem J. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).
Amanat Baghdad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Karkh is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Amanat Baghdad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).