The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amanat Baghdad 14.4%
Draw 22.1%
Zakho 63.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
26.8%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
26.3%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amanat Baghdad's form might have worsened.
Zakho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zakho's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amanat Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zakho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Rostam A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Arzaij A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Matheus Lucas ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 7).
Recent form of Amanat Baghdad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zakho has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Zakho is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Iraq
Watch
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