Match Info

Stars League - Round 22

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Amanat Baghdad		Newroz

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.32
	2.91	2.94	2.38
	2.98	3	2.36
	2.9	2.75	2.38
	3.01	2.93	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Amanat Baghdad
30.5%

Draw
31.1%

Newroz
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Amanat Baghdad - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Malek H. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Komolafe ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 12).

Amanat Baghdad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Newroz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newroz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Naft Maysan - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Kahraba - Amanat Baghdad	5:0 ✺
06.02.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
07.03.26	Newroz - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Duhok - Newroz	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al Mosul - Newroz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.12.25	Newroz - Amanat Baghdad	0:1
04.04.24	Newroz - Amanat Baghdad	3:2
24.11.23	Amanat Baghdad - Newroz	0:2
12.12.21	Amanat Baghdad - Newroz	1:0

Upcoming Matches