Match Info

Stars League - Round 24

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)


	Al-Talaba		Amanat Baghdad

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7.7
	1.27	4.89	9.18
	1.3	4.74	8.9	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.28	4.5	10.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)	4.46 ↑ (3.91)	9 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
69.5%

Draw
20.4%

Amanat Baghdad
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.2%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

21.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Talaba - Amanat Baghdad Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Talaba will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Msuva S. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Muntadher A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 2 - 1, Talib H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 3.

Al-Talaba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Amanat Baghdad has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Talaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Talaba is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
17.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba	3:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Qasim	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWL
- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
21.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Amanat Baghdad	3:1 ✺
12.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Newroz	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Naft Maysan - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
23.11.25	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Talaba	2:1
Iraqi Cup
27.02.25	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	2:0 ET
Iraqi Premier League
05.05.24	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	3:2
22.02.24	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Talaba	0:2
29.06.22	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	2:2
16.01.22	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Talaba	0:1
09.03.21	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	1:2

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