Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Amarante		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.18	2.9	3.1
	2.15	3.05	3.15
	2.09	3.17	3.7
	2.02	3.24	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
42.7%

Draw
29.6%

Mirandela
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

20.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amarante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Amarante will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Paredes - Amarante	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	São Martinho - Amarante	3:2 ✺
23.01.22	Amarante - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
16.01.22	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Amarante	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLT
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Mirandela - Berço	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Mirandela - Paredes	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Vila Meã - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
16.01.22	Tirsense - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Mirandela - Santa Marta de Penaguião	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.12.21	Mirandela - Amarante	1:0

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