Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Amarante		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7.5
	1.38	4.27	8.66
	1.39	4.28	8.66
	1.39	4.15	7.36
	1.39	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	4.2 ↓ (4.48)	7.92 ↓ (9.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
66.4%

Draw
21.9%

Vila Meã
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

20.5%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

19.4%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Amarante is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amarante won 4.

Amarante is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Meã is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amarante is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Amarante won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	São João de Ver - Amarante	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Amarante - Florgrade	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Gondomar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Amarante - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Paredes - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Vila Meã - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.11.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1
16.04.23	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:0
08.01.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1
06.02.22	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:0
07.11.21	Vila Meã - Amarante	1:1
Taça de Portugal
11.09.21	Vila Meã - Amarante	4:3 penalties

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