Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Amarante		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.63	3.6	4.75
	1.64	3.51	5.26
	1.64	3.51	5.26
	1.63	3.65	5.13
	1.64	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	3.57 ↓ (4.06)	4.95 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
55.9%

Draw
25.6%

Pevidem
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amarante's form might have worsened.

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Zangre A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Correa E. (Pen),

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Amarante is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amarante won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	São João de Ver - Amarante	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Amarante - Limianos	2:3 ✺
21.04.24	Pevidem - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.04.24	Oliveira do Douro - Amarante	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Amarante - Salgueiros 08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWT
- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
05.05.24	Limianos - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Pevidem - São João de Ver	2:3 ✺
21.04.24	Pevidem - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.04.24	Pevidem - Camacha	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Limianos - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	Pevidem - Amarante	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Amarante - Pevidem	3:2
22.10.22	Pevidem - Amarante	0:1

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